In his recent article "Biden's Overlooked Advantage" published on TIME, John Kane, CGA's Clinical Associate Professor, examines the impact of incumbency in U.S. presidential elections with a focus on President Biden's re-election prospects in 2024.
Kane's research, using statistical analysis and historical election data, underlines the effects of incumbency on high vote share and its predictive power for election outcomes, suggesting a potentially stronger position for Biden despite the current low approval ratings and criticisms from his party.